AFG · snapshot 2026-08-09
Afghanistan
Very HighOverride appliedOverall risk score
85.1
Percentile of scored universe
98th
Data coverage
80%
vs Australia (16.1)
+69.0
Rated Very High on its own indicators; a gate condition is also flagged.
The Very High rating stands on the computed score of 85.1 (Very High). The flagged condition — Targeted Australian sanctions framework (Afghanistan); Correspondent banking collapsed after August 2021; formal channels limited to humanitarian carve-outs; DFAT advice: Do not travel (Level 4) — would floor the band at High even on weaker data.
Sanctions & banking access
Where sanctions make Afghanistan hard to operate in — under Australian law, under US/EU extraterritorial reach, and in practice at the bank. Comprehensive frameworks force Very High; severe secondary exposure or severed banking floors the band at High; the rest is disclosure.
Australian sanctions
DFAT frameworks that legally restrict Australian companies
Targeted Australian sanctions framework (Afghanistan)
US/EU secondary sanctions
Extraterritorial programs that bind you regardless of Australian law
Taliban and Haqqani-network SDN designations permeate the de facto state apparatus
Banking access
Will correspondent banks actually move your money out
Correspondent banking collapsed after August 2021; formal channels limited to humanitarian carve-outs
Category breakdown
Political Stability & Governance
Very High6 indicators · 100% coverage
Economic Resilience
Very High5 indicators · 75% coverage
Financial & Currency Risk
Insufficient dataInsufficient data
Business Environment
Insufficient dataInsufficient data
Security & Crime
Very High4 indicators · 100% coverage
Climate & Social Compliance
Very High4 indicators · 100% coverage
Technology & Digital
Very High4 indicators · 100% coverage
Cultural Distance
Insufficient dataInsufficient data · not in overall score
Key risks and considerations
Afghanistan rates Very High for market entry — an overall risk score of 85.1, riskier than 98% of rated economies and 69 points riskier than Australia.
An override floors the band at High: Targeted Australian sanctions framework (Afghanistan); Correspondent banking collapsed after August 2021; formal channels limited to humanitarian carve-outs; DFAT advice: Do not travel (Level 4).
Beyond the Australian framework, US/EU designations require enhanced screening: Taliban and Haqqani-network SDN designations permeate the de facto state apparatus. Further, in practice the banking channel is severed: Correspondent banking collapsed after August 2021; formal channels limited to humanitarian carve-outs.
The main risk drivers are no double-tax agreement with Australia, no investment-treaty protection with Australia, weak logistics performance, weak civic voice and accountability and a fragile rule of law.
Relative strength: government net debt rates Low, the least-risky rating band.
Possible mitigations
- Secondary-sanctions exposure. US/EU sanctions reach further than Australian law: screen counterparties against the OFAC SDN list as well as the DFAT list, remember that any USD transaction creates US jurisdiction, and obtain specialist advice before contracting with state-linked entities.
- Repatriation channel risk. Correspondent banks may refuse or delay payments even where they are legal: test the channel with pilot transfers before committing capital, maintain more than one banking relationship, consider non-USD invoicing where lawful, and build payment delays into working capital.
- Duty of care for people. DFAT advises against non-essential travel. Review duty-of-care obligations, prefer remote engagement, and use in-country agents rather than travelling staff where possible.
- Political violence. Consider political-violence and political-risk insurance, keep asset footprints light, and maintain an exit/continuity plan with defined triggers.
- Organised crime. Expect extortion, counterfeiting, and cargo-theft exposure: harden supply-chain security, vet logistics partners and distributors carefully, and avoid cash-heavy channels.
- Corruption and legal recourse. Run a strong anti-bribery program (Australian foreign-bribery law follows you abroad), conduct third-party due diligence, and seat dispute resolution offshore — arbitration clauses (e.g. SIAC or HKIAC) beat local courts.
Generated automatically from this snapshot’s indicator data — a starting point for analysis, not advice.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Risk score | Rating | Australia | Data source year | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Political Stability & Governance | ||||||
| Voice & accountability (WGI) | 19.2 | 99.3 | Very High | |||
| Government effectiveness (WGI) | 13.7 | 98.3 | Very High | |||
| Regulatory quality (WGI) | 30.6 | 94.9 | Very High | |||
| Rule of law (WGI) | 23.7 | 98.3 | Very High | |||
| Control of corruption (WGI) | 21.4 | 91.1 | Very High | |||
| Political stability & absence of violence/terrorism (WGI PV) | 28.2 | 97.8 | Very High | |||
| Economic Resilience | ||||||
| GDP growth (3-yr average, %) | -0.7% (3-yr avg) | 90.0 | Very High | |||
| Growth volatility (10-yr std dev, pp) | ±7.4 pp | 89.2 | Very High | |||
| Government net debt (% of GDP) | 8.0 | 15.0 | Low | |||
| Inflation (CPI %, vs income-group target) | -6.6 | 70.0 | High | |||
| Current account (3-yr average, % of GDP) | — | — | Insufficient data | |||
| FX reserves (months of import cover) | 16.6 months | — | Insufficient data | |||
| GDP per capita (PPP, current intl $) | $2,236 | 94.7 | Very High | |||
| Financial & Currency Risk | ||||||
| Capital-account openness (Chinn-Ito KAOPEN) | — | — | Insufficient data | |||
| Currency stability (regime-aware classification) | — | — | Insufficient data | |||
| Sovereign credit risk (OECD country risk classification) | Category 7 / 7 | 92.0 | Very High | |||
| FATF listing (grey / black list status) | Not listed | 0.0 | Low | |||
| Double-tax agreement with Australia | None in force | 100.0 | Very High | |||
| Business Environment | ||||||
| FDI regulatory restrictiveness (OECD FDIRRI) | — | — | Insufficient data | |||
| Logistics performance (World Bank LPI) | 1.9 | 99.3 | Very High | |||
| Business readiness (World Bank B-READY pillar average) | — | — | Insufficient data | |||
| Investment protection with Australia in force (BIT or FTA investment chapter) | None in force | 100.0 | Very High | |||
| Security & Crime | ||||||
| Armed-conflict intensity (battle deaths per 100k, 5-yr) | 17.8 | 97.9 | Very High | |||
| Intentional homicide rate (per 100k) | 4.0 | 61.0 | High | |||
| Organised crime pervasiveness (GI-TOC criminality score) | 7.0 | 91.1 | Very High | |||
| DFAT Smartraveller advisory level | Level 4 — Do not travel | 95.0 | Very High | |||
| Climate & Social Compliance | ||||||
| Physical climate vulnerability (ND-GAIN vulnerability) | 0.612 | 95.0 | Very High | |||
| Disaster risk (INFORM Risk Index) | 7.8 | 96.1 | Very High | |||
| Modern-slavery prevalence (per 1,000) | 13.0 | 94.4 | Very High | |||
| Modern-slavery vulnerability score | 86.2 | 96.6 | Very High | |||
| Technology & Digital | ||||||
| E-government development (UN EGDI) | 0.2 | 97.2 | Very High | |||
| Internet users (% of population) | 16.1 | 97.0 | Very High | |||
| Cybercrime origination (World Cybercrime Index) | 0.3 | 30.0 | Medium | |||
| Secure internet servers (per million people) | 41.1 | 86.3 | Very High | |||
Per-indicator ratings are quartile bands of the 0–100 risk score. The Australia column shows the same indicator’s raw value for the Australian baseline in this snapshot.
Cultural distance
GLOBE 2004 societal practices · rated on distance from Australia · not in the overall score
Context — not scored
Unemployment
13.4%
Displayed, never scored: ambiguous for an entrant and unreliable where informal employment dominates. (2025, ILO modelled)
Trade agreement
No Australian FTA in force
Market access is decision-relevant but a benefit, not a risk — kept out of the rating.
Regional advisories
No higher regional advisory levels
DFAT Smartraveller sub-national advice where it exceeds the overall level.
Compare with
A score means little on its own. These economies scored closest to Afghanistan in this snapshot, which is the fastest way to see whether the rating is telling you something specific or something regional.