SSD · snapshot 2026-08-09

South Sudan

Very HighOverride applied

Overall risk score

85.7

Percentile of scored universe

99th

Data coverage

75%

vs Australia (16.1)

+69.6

Rated Very High on its own indicators; a gate condition is also flagged.

The Very High rating stands on the computed score of 85.7 (Very High). The flagged condition — UNSC sanctions framework (South Sudan); DFAT advice: Do not travel (Level 4) — would floor the band at High even on weaker data.

Sanctions & banking access

Where sanctions make South Sudan hard to operate in — under Australian law, under US/EU extraterritorial reach, and in practice at the bank. Comprehensive frameworks force Very High; severe secondary exposure or severed banking floors the band at High; the rest is disclosure.

Australian sanctions

DFAT frameworks that legally restrict Australian companies

Targeted framework

UNSC sanctions framework (South Sudan)

US/EU secondary sanctions

Extraterritorial programs that bind you regardless of Australian law

No flag

No framework, program, or de-risking pattern identified.

Banking access

Will correspondent banks actually move your money out

Constrained

Thin correspondent access and heavy de-risking of payments

Category breakdown

Political Stability & Governance

Very High
95.1+82.3 vs AU

6 indicators · 100% coverage

Economic Resilience

Very High
71.9+60.9 vs AU

4 indicators · 65% coverage

Financial & Currency Risk

Very High
85.1+79.2 vs AU

4 indicators · 73% coverage

Business Environment

Insufficient data
no AU baseline

Insufficient data

Security & Crime

Very High
89.8+64.7 vs AU

3 indicators · 80% coverage

Climate & Social Compliance

Very High
96.1+85.8 vs AU

3 indicators · 70% coverage

Technology & Digital

Very High
69.0+55.3 vs AU

3 indicators · 75% coverage

Cultural Distance

Insufficient data
no AU baseline

Insufficient data · not in overall score

Key risks and considerations

South Sudan rates Very High for market entry — an overall risk score of 85.7, riskier than 99% of rated economies and 70 points riskier than Australia.

An override floors the band at High: UNSC sanctions framework (South Sudan); DFAT advice: Do not travel (Level 4).

Beyond the Australian framework, correspondent banking is constrained: Thin correspondent access and heavy de-risking of payments.

The main risk drivers are no double-tax agreement with Australia, no investment-treaty protection with Australia, pervasive corruption, poor government effectiveness and high natural-disaster risk.

Possible mitigations

  • Repatriation channel risk. Correspondent banks may refuse or delay payments even where they are legal: test the channel with pilot transfers before committing capital, maintain more than one banking relationship, consider non-USD invoicing where lawful, and build payment delays into working capital.
  • Duty of care for people. DFAT advises against non-essential travel. Review duty-of-care obligations, prefer remote engagement, and use in-country agents rather than travelling staff where possible.
  • Political violence. Consider political-violence and political-risk insurance, keep asset footprints light, and maintain an exit/continuity plan with defined triggers.
  • Organised crime. Expect extortion, counterfeiting, and cargo-theft exposure: harden supply-chain security, vet logistics partners and distributors carefully, and avoid cash-heavy channels.
  • Corruption and legal recourse. Run a strong anti-bribery program (Australian foreign-bribery law follows you abroad), conduct third-party due diligence, and seat dispute resolution offshore — arbitration clauses (e.g. SIAC or HKIAC) beat local courts.
  • Getting money out. Confirm profit-repatriation channels before committing capital: seek central-bank pre-approvals where required, consider an export-first model over an in-country entity, and structure via clear remittance jurisdictions.

Generated automatically from this snapshot’s indicator data — a starting point for analysis, not advice.

Indicators

IndicatorValueRisk scoreRating
Political Stability & Governance
Voice & accountability (WGI)23.797.3Very High
Government effectiveness (WGI)9.199.8Very High
Regulatory quality (WGI)24.498.8Very High
Rule of law (WGI)23.098.8Very High
Control of corruption (WGI)6.199.8Very High
Political stability & absence of violence/terrorism (WGI PV)40.489.1Very High
Economic Resilience
GDP growth (3-yr average, %)Insufficient data
Growth volatility (10-yr std dev, pp)Insufficient data
Government net debt (% of GDP)62.160.0High
Inflation (CPI %, vs income-group target)91.495.0Very High
Current account (3-yr average, % of GDP)-1.6% (3-yr avg)15.0Low
FX reserves (months of import cover)0.2 months95.0Very High
GDP per capita (PPP, current intl $)$1,155Insufficient data
Financial & Currency Risk
Capital-account openness (Chinn-Ito KAOPEN)Insufficient data
Currency stability (regime-aware classification)Convertibility distress (parallel-market premium)90.0Very High
Sovereign credit risk (OECD country risk classification)Category 7 / 792.0Very High
FATF listing (grey / black list status)Grey list45.0Medium
Double-tax agreement with AustraliaNone in force100.0Very High
Business Environment
FDI regulatory restrictiveness (OECD FDIRRI)0.2767.4High
Logistics performance (World Bank LPI)Insufficient data
Business readiness (World Bank B-READY pillar average)Insufficient data
Investment protection with Australia in force (BIT or FTA investment chapter)None in force100.0Very High
Security & Crime
Armed-conflict intensity (battle deaths per 100k, 5-yr)5.393.3Very High
Intentional homicide rate (per 100k)14.0Insufficient data
Organised crime pervasiveness (GI-TOC criminality score)6.480.5Very High
DFAT Smartraveller advisory levelLevel 4 — Do not travel95.0Very High
Climate & Social Compliance
Physical climate vulnerability (ND-GAIN vulnerability)Insufficient data
Disaster risk (INFORM Risk Index)8.599.7Very High
Modern-slavery prevalence (per 1,000)10.387.2Very High
Modern-slavery vulnerability score100.099.7Very High
Technology & Digital
E-government development (UN EGDI)0.199.2Very High
Internet users (% of population)6.7Insufficient data
Cybercrime origination (World Cybercrime Index)0.010.0Low
Secure internet servers (per million people)5.397.4Very High

Per-indicator ratings are quartile bands of the 0–100 risk score. The Australia column shows the same indicator’s raw value for the Australian baseline in this snapshot.

Cultural distance

GLOBE 2004 societal practices · rated on distance from Australia · not in the overall score

The GLOBE 2004 study did not cover South Sudan (~60 societies covered), so no cultural-distance profile is available.

Context — not scored

Unemployment

12.4%

Displayed, never scored: ambiguous for an entrant and unreliable where informal employment dominates. (2023, ILO modelled)

Trade agreement

No Australian FTA in force

Market access is decision-relevant but a benefit, not a risk — kept out of the rating.

Regional advisories

No higher regional advisory levels

DFAT Smartraveller sub-national advice where it exceeds the overall level.

Compare with

A score means little on its own. These economies scored closest to South Sudan in this snapshot, which is the fastest way to see whether the rating is telling you something specific or something regional.

All 218 economies · How to read these ratings