BHR · snapshot 2026-08-09
Bahrain
HighOverride appliedOverall risk score
43.7
Percentile of scored universe
45th
Data coverage
90%
vs Australia (16.1)
+27.6
Band raised to High by override — its own data would rate it lower.
Computed risk score: 43.7 (Medium). The override takes precedence: DFAT advice: Do not travel (Level 4).
Category breakdown
Political Stability & Governance
Medium6 indicators · 100% coverage
Economic Resilience
Very High6 indicators · 85% coverage
Financial & Currency Risk
High5 indicators · 100% coverage
Business Environment
Insufficient dataInsufficient data
Security & Crime
Medium4 indicators · 100% coverage
Climate & Social Compliance
Medium4 indicators · 100% coverage
Technology & Digital
Low4 indicators · 100% coverage
Cultural Distance
Insufficient dataInsufficient data · not in overall score
Key risks and considerations
Bahrain rates High for market entry — an overall risk score of 43.7, less risky than 55% of rated economies and 28 points riskier than Australia.
An override floors the band at High: DFAT advice: Do not travel (Level 4).
The main risk drivers are no double-tax agreement with Australia, no investment-treaty protection with Australia, DFAT travel advice at Level 4 — Do not travel, weak civic voice and accountability and heavy public debt (net 147.6% of GDP).
Relative strengths: internet users, disaster risk, E-government development all sit in the least-risky quarter of rated economies.
Possible mitigations
- Duty of care for people. DFAT advises against non-essential travel. Review duty-of-care obligations, prefer remote engagement, and use in-country agents rather than travelling staff where possible.
- Payment security. Elevated sovereign/transfer risk: prefer confirmed letters of credit or export credit insurance over open account terms, and watch for import-payment restrictions.
- Withholding tax. No double-tax agreement with Australia: model withholding tax on dividends, interest, and royalties into the business case — it can decide the entity-vs-export question.
Generated automatically from this snapshot’s indicator data — a starting point for analysis, not advice.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Risk score | Rating | Australia | Data source year | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Political Stability & Governance | ||||||
| Voice & accountability (WGI) | 33.7 | 86.1 | Very High | |||
| Government effectiveness (WGI) | 63.0 | 30.0 | Medium | |||
| Regulatory quality (WGI) | 69.8 | 18.3 | Low | |||
| Rule of law (WGI) | 59.9 | 43.7 | Medium | |||
| Control of corruption (WGI) | 53.0 | 38.9 | Medium | |||
| Political stability & absence of violence/terrorism (WGI PV) | 61.2 | 62.6 | High | |||
| Economic Resilience | ||||||
| GDP growth (3-yr average, %) | 3.4% (3-yr avg) | 40.0 | Medium | |||
| Growth volatility (10-yr std dev, pp) | ±3.3 pp | 47.8 | Medium | |||
| Government net debt (% of GDP) | 147.6 | 85.0 | Very High | |||
| Inflation (CPI %, vs income-group target) | -0.1 | 35.0 | Medium | |||
| Current account (3-yr average, % of GDP) | 8.5% (3-yr avg) | 40.0 | Medium | |||
| FX reserves (months of import cover) | — | — | Insufficient data | |||
| GDP per capita (PPP, current intl $) | $70,997 | 14.3 | Low | |||
| Financial & Currency Risk | ||||||
| Capital-account openness (Chinn-Ito KAOPEN) | 1.00 | 5.0 | Low | |||
| Currency stability (regime-aware classification) | Pegged — one fragility flag | 65.0 | High | |||
| Sovereign credit risk (OECD country risk classification) | Category 6 / 7 | 82.0 | Very High | |||
| FATF listing (grey / black list status) | Not listed | 0.0 | Low | |||
| Double-tax agreement with Australia | None in force | 100.0 | Very High | |||
| Business Environment | ||||||
| FDI regulatory restrictiveness (OECD FDIRRI) | — | — | Insufficient data | |||
| Logistics performance (World Bank LPI) | 3.5 | 24.6 | Low | |||
| Business readiness (World Bank B-READY pillar average) | — | — | Insufficient data | |||
| Investment protection with Australia in force (BIT or FTA investment chapter) | None in force | 100.0 | Very High | |||
| Security & Crime | ||||||
| Armed-conflict intensity (battle deaths per 100k, 5-yr) | 0.0 | 29.7 | Medium | |||
| Intentional homicide rate (per 100k) | 0.2 | 2.4 | Low | |||
| Organised crime pervasiveness (GI-TOC criminality score) | 4.8 | 40.6 | Medium | |||
| DFAT Smartraveller advisory level | Level 4 — Do not travel | 95.0 | Very High | |||
| Climate & Social Compliance | ||||||
| Physical climate vulnerability (ND-GAIN vulnerability) | 0.499 | 72.4 | High | |||
| Disaster risk (INFORM Risk Index) | 1.8 | 5.5 | Low | |||
| Modern-slavery prevalence (per 1,000) | 6.7 | 62.2 | High | |||
| Modern-slavery vulnerability score | 40.3 | 35.3 | Medium | |||
| Technology & Digital | ||||||
| E-government development (UN EGDI) | 0.9 | 9.1 | Low | |||
| Internet users (% of population) | 100.0 | 1.1 | Low | |||
| Cybercrime origination (World Cybercrime Index) | 0.0 | 10.0 | Low | |||
| Secure internet servers (per million people) | 7064.4 | 30.0 | Medium | |||
Per-indicator ratings are quartile bands of the 0–100 risk score. The Australia column shows the same indicator’s raw value for the Australian baseline in this snapshot.
Cultural distance
GLOBE 2004 societal practices · rated on distance from Australia · not in the overall score
Context — not scored
Unemployment
1.1%
Displayed, never scored: ambiguous for an entrant and unreliable where informal employment dominates. (2025, ILO modelled)
Trade agreement
No Australian FTA in force
Market access is decision-relevant but a benefit, not a risk — kept out of the rating.
Regional advisories
No higher regional advisory levels
DFAT Smartraveller sub-national advice where it exceeds the overall level.
Compare with
A score means little on its own. These economies scored closest to Bahrain in this snapshot, which is the fastest way to see whether the rating is telling you something specific or something regional.